Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.658769 0.819060 0.990218 1.184742 1.397996 1.623162 1.877425
2025-02-23 0.423714 0.639454 0.891035 1.197161 1.551941 1.943767 2.403317
2025-03-02 0.273511 0.498220 0.781737 1.145801 1.584889 2.084564 2.684705
2025-03-09 0.164619 0.380302 0.678337 1.082708 1.589093 2.180908 2.906254
2025-03-16 0.099808 0.302850 0.611011 1.050600 1.618825 2.297240 3.141836
2025-03-23 0.067496 0.265732 0.591734 1.074912 1.713861 2.488036 3.462027
2025-03-30 0.040292 0.225491 0.560583 1.077937 1.778006 2.638554 3.732158
2025-04-06 0.018628 0.181550 0.515597 1.056091 1.805918 2.741641 3.943097
2025-04-13 0.011391 0.170003 0.521649 1.105645 1.926588 2.959068 4.291712
2025-04-20 0.006324 0.159819 0.528063 1.154574 2.045769 3.174322 4.637628
2025-04-27 0.003328 0.153507 0.540189 1.211343 2.175172 3.402362 4.999273
2025-05-04 0.002510 0.159179 0.575084 1.302895 2.352103 3.690903 5.435530
2025-05-11 0.000705 0.151022 0.584946 1.360582 2.489694 3.938361 5.832902
2025-05-18 NaN 0.131529 0.569560 1.378615 2.573644 4.119250 6.151071
2025-05-25 NaN 0.095502 0.510289 1.321945 2.550264 4.159793 6.293271
2025-06-01 NaN 0.063587 0.448131 1.254111 2.506922 4.171548 6.397290
2025-06-08 NaN 0.044175 0.408470 1.219274 2.507230 4.237361 6.566238
2025-06-15 NaN 0.037626 0.404310 1.245612 2.596018 4.419392 6.881438
2025-06-22 NaN 0.028729 0.388167 1.248878 2.650023 4.554884 7.137549
2025-06-29 NaN 0.018354 0.358841 1.225238 2.662538 4.634183 7.321708
2025-07-06 NaN 0.017517 0.370383 1.278839 2.791186 4.869178 7.704403
2025-07-13 NaN 0.016666 0.381527 1.331682 2.918800 5.102973 8.085841
2025-07-20 NaN 0.016654 0.396942 1.392896 3.059276 5.354297 8.489968